When is the best time to join a startup?

Mastering risk assessment can significantly enhance your financial success when joining a startup..

The question isn’t just “When is the best time to join?” but “When is the right time for you?”

Timing can make or break your experience with a startup.

Each stage of a startup brings unique risks and rewards. Understanding the dynamics at play — and assessing your own risk tolerance and career goals — is key to making a smart decision.

Here’s a look at the typical phases of a startup, the trade-offs they present, and how to navigate them.

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TL;DR

Idea stage (pre-seed) → all vision and minimal structure

Product development stage (seed to early-growth) → the product is developed, tested and reiterated here

Growth & scaling stage (series A - series C) → startup should have established PMF and focuses solely on growth & scaling

Late stage (series D and later) → startup is usually not a startup anymore, focus is on sustainable growth and focus is on future goals, such as IPO

Five types of risk → remove these 5 types of risks and your startup will become the most successful in the world

🧡 P.S. Know someone ready to level up as a founder (or become one)? Share this newsletter and help their journey.

1. Idea stage (pre-seed)

At this point, it’s all vision and minimal structure. Founders are usually working out of coffee shops, with pitch decks instead of products. Most of the value lies in potential. If you join a startup here, expect ambiguity, long hours, and a lack of clear direction.

📈 Pros:

  • High Equity Potential: Since the company has almost no funding or revenue, founders are more willing to share substantial equity.

  • Major Influence: You’re shaping the product, culture, and early processes. Your work has immediate, visible impact.

📉 Cons:

  • Extreme Risk: The majority of startups don’t make it past this stage. There’s no guarantee your equity will ever have financial value.

  • Low or No Pay: Salaries are often minimal or nonexistent, so this stage is more about long-term gains than immediate financial rewards.

Best for: Those with high risk tolerance, a passion for building from scratch, and financial flexibility.

2. Product development stage (seed to early-growth)

Here, the product is being developed, tested, and refined. The company may have raised initial funding, allowing for some early hires and small salaries. There’s still significant risk, but now there’s a more concrete foundation.

📈 Pros:

  • Growth Potential: If the startup is successful, you’re positioned to grow with the company and potentially take on a larger role.

  • Equity: Though lower than in the idea stage, you still stand to gain significant equity.

📉 Cons:

  • Moderate Risk: Many startups fail before they find a sustainable product-market fit. Your equity might still end up worth zero.

  • Work-Life Balance: The hours remain intense, and there’s little stability in terms of job structure or long-term security.

Best for: Those who want the experience of scaling a product, have a reasonable risk appetite, and are motivated by equity potential over immediate stability.

3. Growth & scaling stage (series A - series C)

At this stage, the startup has validated its product, found product-market fit, and is focused on scaling. Funding is stronger, and the team is growing. The company is aiming for aggressive growth, which often brings operational challenges and the need for new talent.

📈 Pros:

  • Better Compensation: Salaries and benefits improve, and equity is still an attractive incentive, though it may be diluted.

  • Career Development: You have more structure, support, and resources, and potentially clearer growth paths within the company.

  • Lower Risk: The startup is no longer just a risky concept; it has customers, revenue, and proof of its viability.

📉 Cons:

  • Less Influence: The core product and direction are largely set, so there’s less room for shaping big-picture decisions.

  • Higher Expectations: The pace and pressure remain intense, with a strong focus on scaling quickly and hitting ambitious targets.

Best for: Those seeking a balance between growth potential and stability, and who enjoy the challenges of scaling and optimizing processes.

4. Late stage (series D and later)

Late-stage startups are often more like mid-sized companies. They have a well-defined market, strong revenue, and may be preparing for IPO or acquisition. It’s no longer a “small team in a garage” vibe; now it’s about sustaining growth and preparing for major financial events.

📈 Pros:

  • Competitive Pay: Salaries are competitive, sometimes including bonuses and other incentives.

  • Equity with More Predictability: While equity offers are smaller, the likelihood of liquidity is higher if IPO or acquisition is near.

  • Career Stability: There’s more structure, work-life balance, and established processes.

📉 Cons:

  • Less Startup Spirit: The company may feel more corporate, with more layers of management and formalised processes.

  • Limited Upside: The big equity gains are often behind you, and there’s less room for massive growth in terms of valuation.

Best for: Those looking for a safer bet with competitive pay and reasonable work-life balance, and who are less concerned with maximizing equity upside.

Five types of risk

When a startup is in its first stages, it is nothing but risk. Successfully building a company is the act of slowly decreasing (or ideally — eliminating) that risk until you have created a reliable cash flow machine.

There are (usually) five types of risk:

  1. Technology risk - can we get the product to work?

  2. Market risk - can we build something people love?

  3. Scaling risk - can we acquire lots of customers?

  4. Business model risk - can we serve customers profitably?

  5. Defensibility risk - can we maintain market share?

Remove one of them, and the expected value of your business goes up massively.

Remove all of them, and a business will become one of the most successful in the world, worth billions of dollars. 

Dan Hockenmaier’s improvement upon the YC’s "make something people want”

The main problem in startup nowadays? Not enough potential startup employees think about risk, even though it is the #1 thing that determines their economic outcome.

🧡 P.S. If you subscribe today — you will get the best approaches to dealing with each of the categories of the given risk in your inbox on Monday!

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